Thursday, June 27, 2019

Democratic Debates, Carrot or Stick? Trump, the Great Decider, Migrant Bodies, Honduras, Venezuela, Granddaughter’s Visit, Peppers, Right to Life/to Choose (Again)

Because I don’t have TV (no patience to sit to watch it), I missed the Democratic presidential candidate debates, as I could not find them on radio. Perhaps it would have been too cumbersome to try to broadcast them on radio. Instead, I heard excerpts, including of Beto O’Rourke speaking accented, but intelligible Spanish. I’ve already said I would vote for any one of them, but maybe front-runner Joe Biden as a centrist has the best chance of appealing to disillusioned Trump supporters. I would love to see him with a female VP, if that can happen, and also to win in a landslide against Trump, despite the quirks of the Electoral College that cheated us so disastrously last time. This time voters cannot afford to be so quite picky, as some were about Hillary. For better or worse, it’s a binary contest, so never mind about 3rd party choices this time. It’s either the Democrat or Trump.

President Obama offered more of a carrot than a stick to adversaries Iran and Cuba. Trump prefers threats and confrontation, inflicting economic pain and risking violence and war. There is no guaranteed method of influencing the actions of other nations and their leaders, who are simply other people, after all. Trump’s tactics are scary and have not proved successful so far, increasing not reducing tensions. If other leaders feel under attack, they will fight back and resist. Trump never gave Obama’s approach to making a deal a chance to increase mutual trust and reduce the likelihood of conflict with political adversaries, whether in other countries or here in the US.

The standoff with Iran is entirely of Trump’s making. He has goaded the Iran regime into resistance and self-defense. He came perilously close to starting a war there, perhaps pushed by his advisers, but reportedly pulling back at the last minute after perhaps realizing it would hurt his reelection chances, which it would. If it was an impulsive decision to go ahead and then equally impulsive to pull back, we dodged a bullet that time. Shooting down an unmanned drone, however costly the device, doesn’t merit all-out war. Meanwhile, Trump has reportedly lost interest in Venezuela, where the US could have some influence if it played its cards right, which is unlikely. 

Trump’s approach to trade is similarly heavy handed and mercurial. Don’t try talking first, just slap some tariffs on products from another country and then, as he likes to say, “Let’s see what happens.” The man has no imagination, no foresight, no ability to put himself in another person’s shoes. His taunts of other lawmakers are worthy of a third-grade playground bully, hence meaningless. When poll numbers from his own pollsters were leaked, showing him falling behind major Democratic presidential hopefuls, he fired the pollsters. Don’t give that guy any bad news! Of course, even if he falls far behind in the popular vote in 2020, we now know that may not be definitive. Depending on how Electoral College votes fall, he could still pull it off again. Can lightning strike twice in the same place?

If Trump loses reelection, which I fervently expect and hope he will, he and his supporters will certainly cry foul. Some of them have even expressed the wish that he might have a 3rd term. Would the man even live that long? Will I survive that long? The fact that Trump is still in office now is certainly eroding my mental health. Or how about “President-for-Life” like former Haitian dictator Baby Doc? It’s hard to imagine why so many Republican lawmakers and fellow Americans continue to slavishly support the guy. Maybe it’s due to a cult-like psychology that drinks the Kool Aid even though it results in certain death. In traveling abroad, I’m pretty understanding and accepting of cultural differences and clashes, but seeing such a sharp divide within our own country and being part of it is proving very unnerving. 

As for the migrant crisis, it’s easy for Trump to try to demonize the so-called hordes of criminals trying to crash the border to invade our country. But, as always, an individual case is easier to understand and pulls more on the heart-strings. A little refugee boy’s body washed up in Greece caused more outrage than the sinking of a boatload of refugees. Likewise, there is less sympathy here for crowds waiting at the border gates and much more for the man and little girl whose bodies were found drowned on the shores of the Rio Grande. In both cases, the bodies being shown face-down seems to have increased their poignancy. A single human photographic example makes it easier for the viewer to identify with the victim than the sight of a crowd.

However, I must observe, based on my own recent conversations in Honduras, that the rumor there is that getting into the US is easier with a child in tow, one reason so many adult migrants are traveling with children. Push factors include lack of work, crop failures, and rampant crime in their own countries, while pull factors are the demand for workers in the US, especially in agriculture, hospitality, and construction which depend most on foreign workers (even Trump properties have relied on undocumented workers).  

It is noteworthy that Trump has been traveling abroad, both to the UK and now to Japan, without Melania in tow. Nor has she been visible here in the US. Perhaps she’s just fed up and awaiting her welcome release in 2020.

Meanwhile, Honduras protests: Military deployed after violence
       21 June 2019 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-48712001       
Anger has been building in recent weeks over proposals to restructure the ministries of education and health. Opponents say that the changes are the first step towards the privatization of education and health services. Two people were killed recently.

On our Amnesty Int’l USA Facebook page for Latin America, a couple of guys posted there that Venezuelans are making up stories against the Maduro government just to gain asylum here and that the whole Venezuelan problem was made in Washington. I have helped some of those Venezuelan asylum applicants and assured them their stories were credible. I asked if the millions of Venezuelans fleeing to other South American countries have been merely trying to get asylum in the US? Really, some AI members are as boneheaded as Trump supporters, lots of conspiracy theories floating around, amplified by the internet.

Jared Kushner’s plan for the Palestinians (put together without their input) takes a page from communist China and Viet Nam, namely emphasizing economic development without parallel political development. Most people anywhere would accept that as a cup half full, as it allows them some freedom and agency in their daily life while giving them no role in choosing their leadership or governing laws. 

My granddaughter was up from Florida, visiting us and her 11-year-old son, who is staying here for the summer. She was also taking care of a local friend’s 8-month-old baby, a very precocious child, not only showing teeth in a broad smile, but who can stand and walk a few steps alone, pick up tiny snips of food to eat, and even bring a spoon to his mouth, in stark contrast to most children I’ve seen when working as an interpreter in home therapy. 





Riding with my daughter to go meet my granddaughter, we were involved in a fairly minor 5-car chain accident. The driver of a car ahead had apparently changed his/her mind about turning off, veering back onto the highway, then speeding off, causing 5 cars behind to slam on their brakes, crashing slightly into each other. The back of my daughter’s car was hit pretty hard and we were jolted, but not injured. The driver of the car ahead of us, who at first had been walking around, decided that a previous back injury had been aggravated and left in an ambulance. My daughter laments that her insurance will rise. The car that hit us from behind has the same insurance and faces the same fate. But the errant driver who had caused all this chaos had gone ahead scot-free.


While I am not fond of hot peppers myself, the potted plant grown from seeds by previous Bhutanese visitors, continues to bear fruit. I can only give them away. 

While many Catholics adhere to a seamless support of life from prenatal through natural death and in opposition to capital punishment, it is also true that some advocates for the unborn still support executions for those who have committed capital crimes. At the other end of the political spectrum, many vociferous opponents of capital punishment are equally adamant in supporting a woman’s “right to choose.” There is often little middle ground, at least among activists for both sides. Yet a growing number of people are voluntary vegetarians because they oppose killing animals for food. And a woman stomping on a turtle-egg nest was arrested, apparently for endangering unborn turtles. What does the “right to life” encompass? It seems to depend on the consensus of the tribe you consider that you belong to. I have no problem with voluntary euthanasia by someone with a terminal illness who is cognitively and emotionally sound. Where does that put me on the political spectrum if I am also not so supportive of 2nd trimester abortions? I do think the 2nd and 3rd trimesters are where “pro-life” folks should put their efforts and where the Supreme Court might rule to further parse the broad and somewhat vague outlines afforded by Roe. But the subject of abortion has grown so contentious and partisan that it is not an issue the politicians on either side should be willing to tackle in any depth or nuance right now.  




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